
SentinelOne
Subscription SaaS: per-agent/per-module recurring licenses on the Singularity platform plus consumption-based data (AI SIEM / Data Lake) revenue; land in endpoint, expand into cloud, identity, data, and AI security; heavy channel/MSSP distribution
Earnings, margins, COGS & capex
SentinelOne crossed the $1B revenue milestone in FY26 (+22%) and reached full-year non-GAAP operating profitability for the first time (3% margin vs -3% in FY25). Q1 FY27 (ended Apr 30, 2026) showed reacceleration where it matters: ARR growth ticked up to 23% (from 22% at year-end) on record net-new ARR of $44M (+55% y/y, the fourth consecutive quarter of net-new ARR growth), driven by AI SIEM/data (fourth straight quarter of ARR growth acceleration), cloud, and the Prompt Security AI-security line -- non-endpoint 'emerging' solutions reached ~half of ARR for the first time. Non-GAAP gross margin dipped to 77% (from 79%) on acquisition integration and data-heavy product mix; GAAP remains loss-making (-29% operating margin, $76.2M net loss in Q1) on heavy stock-based compensation and acquisition amortization. A restructuring announced with Q1 cuts ~8% of the workforce (~$45M annualized savings, ~$25M one-time Q2 charge) and underwrites the raised FY27 non-GAAP operating income guide of $115-125M (~10% margin).
Income statement — where each revenue dollar goes
% of revenueOf every $1 of revenue, ~23¢ is cost of goods and ~73¢ operating expense, leaving ~4¢ of operating profit.
Revenue trend
Margins
Down ~200bps y/y on acquisition/data-mix dilution
Down from 75% y/y in Q1
Improving ~600bps y/y in Q1 (from -2%); inflected positive in FY26
Improving (from -38% y/y in Q1) but still deeply negative on SBC and acquisition amortization
Improving; Q1 is the seasonally strongest collections quarter
COGS structure
COGS is cloud hosting/data-processing for the Singularity platform and Data Lake (primarily public-cloud infrastructure), support, and amortization of acquired technology. The data-intensive AI SIEM/Data Lake mix and the Observo AI / Prompt Security acquisitions pressured gross margin ~200bps y/y in Q1 FY27 (non-GAAP 79% -> 77%).
Capex
Minimal -- no owned data-center build; platform rides public cloud, so infrastructure cost sits in COGS rather than capex. FCF is driven by billings/working capital, not capex cycles.
Latest earnings
Non-GAAP EPS $0.04 vs guided $0.01-0.02 and ~$0.02 consensus (beat); revenue $276.7M a hair under ~$277.4M consensus (within the $276-278M guide); stock fell ~8% post-print on guidance/restructuring
FY27 revenue maintained at $1.195-1.205B (~+20%); non-GAAP operating income RAISED to $115-125M (~10% margin at midpoint, from $110-120M in March); non-GAAP EPS $0.32-0.38; Q2 FY27 revenue $289-291M with $23-25M non-GAAP operating income, plus a ~$25M one-time restructuring charge excluded from non-GAAP
- ARR
- $1,163M, +23% y/y (Apr 30, 2026)
- Net new ARR
- $44M, +55% y/y (company record; 4th straight quarter of growth)
- Customers >$100K ARR
- 1,702, +17% y/y
- RPO
- $1.5B, +30% y/y (record)
- Non-endpoint (emerging) share of ARR
- ~50% (first time)
- Cash & investments
- $812M, no material debt
Growth drivers
- AI SIEM / Singularity Data Lake displacing legacy SIEM (a Splunk displacement at an iconic luxury brand cited on the Q1 FY27 call; fourth consecutive quarter of data-solutions ARR growth acceleration; company-cited IDC study: 331% 3-yr ROI, 7-month payback)
- Purple AI agentic SOC (company-cited IDC study: 338% ROI) as the AI upsell attach across the installed base
- AI-model/GenAI security via Prompt Security acquisition — AI security ARR nearly doubled sequentially again in Q1 FY27
- Cloud security (CNAPP, from PingSafe acquisition) and identity (Attivo) expansion -- non-endpoint solutions reached ~50% of ARR for the first time
- International expansion: 39% of revenue growing 25% y/y (Q1 FY27)
- MSSP/MDR and OEM channel (incl. the 2024 Lenovo endpoint preload agreement) extending reach into mid-market
Reported financials — SEC EDGAR
Audited GAAP figures pulled from SEC filings · latest filing 2026-03-19. The audited primary-source spine — not financial advice.
Revenue — annual (GAAP)
Margins & balance sheet — FY’26
Bull & bear
The cheapest scaled growth asset in security: ~4.3x EV/forward revenue for a business reaccelerating to 23% ARR growth, with non-endpoint products (AI SIEM, cloud, AI security) now half of ARR, operating margin guided to ~10% non-GAAP this year, and ~$812M net cash providing downside support and takeout optionality.
- ARR growth reaccelerated to 23% with record net-new ARR (+55% y/y) in Q1 FY27 -- the growth story is inflecting up, not down, unlike most software peers at this multiple
- Data/AI SIEM has posted four consecutive quarters of ARR growth acceleration and is displacing Splunk in enterprise deals; SIEM replacement is a multi-billion-dollar pool SentinelOne barely touched two years ago
- Operating leverage is real: non-GAAP operating margin from -3% (FY25) to 3% (FY26) to a guided ~10% (FY27), with the 8% workforce reduction adding ~$45M annualized savings
- Valuation dislocation vs peers: roughly 4-4.5x EV/ARR vs CrowdStrike's high-teens-plus class multiple for a comparable ~20%+ growth rate -- partial multiple convergence alone is significant upside
- $812M net cash (~13% of market cap), record RPO +30%, and strategic scarcity as an independent AI-native security platform create a floor and persistent M&A optionality
- Prompt Security gives it an early lead in GenAI/LLM security -- a new category where Microsoft/CrowdStrike do not yet have an entrenched offering
A structurally sub-scale challenger caught between Microsoft's bundle and CrowdStrike's platform, whose headline reacceleration masks GAAP losses, eroding gross margin, and a restructuring that reads as demand caution -- the discount multiple may be deserved, and the stock has been a value trap since IPO.
- Platform-consolidation dynamics favor the biggest vendors: CISOs are cutting vendor count, and SentinelOne at ~$1.2B ARR is a fraction of CrowdStrike's scale and a rounding error vs Microsoft security's revenue
- Microsoft's E5/Defender bundling structurally caps endpoint pricing; every renewal is a price negotiation against 'free'
- GAAP operating margin is still -29% with a $76.2M quarterly net loss; the non-GAAP profit story leans on excluding heavy SBC that drives mid-single-digit annual share-count dilution
- Non-GAAP gross margin fell ~200bps y/y to 77% -- the growth engines (data-heavy AI SIEM, acquired products) are lower-margin than the core endpoint business
- An 8% workforce cut in the same quarter as a 'record' print suggests management sees a harder demand environment than the ARR headline implies; revenue guide was maintained, not raised, and the stock fell ~8% on the report
- Growth has fallen from 47% to ~20% in two years; if net-new ARR momentum stalls, a low-teens grower with 77% gross margin merits the discount multiple, and the reacceleration thesis breaks
What it is worth
EV/forward revenue and EV/ARR comps vs security peer set (CRWD, PANW, FTNT, CSCO-Splunk), sanity-checked with a reverse-DCF read on what the price implies
~$11-13
growth decelerates to low-teens, gross margin slips further, net-new ARR momentum stalls post-restructuring -- de-rate to ~3x EV/forward sales, cushioned by ~$2.4/share in net cash
~$18-20
~20% growth, ~10% non-GAAP operating margin achieved, multiple holds ~4.5-5x EV/forward sales
~$26-29
20%+ growth sustained, FY27 margin guide met/beaten, AI SIEM momentum compounds -- re-rate toward 6.5-7x EV/forward sales (still a fraction of CrowdStrike's multiple); M&A/take-private interest adds a floor
At $17.51 (Jul 10, 2026): market cap ~$6.0B (342.8M shares), EV ~$5.2B after $812M net cash. That is ~4.3x EV/FY27E revenue ($1.2B) and ~4.5x EV/ARR ($1.16B) -- a deep discount to CrowdStrike's high-teens-plus class multiple for a comparable ~20-23% growth rate, reflecting scale, GAAP-loss, and execution skepticism. The current price implies roughly mid-teens durable growth with only modest FCF margin expansion -- i.e., the market is pricing further deceleration, not the reported reacceleration. Upside case = growth holds 20%+ while non-GAAP operating margin scales toward the guided 10% and beyond; multiple convergence does the rest. Downside case = growth fades to low-teens as gross margin erodes.
SWOT
Strengths
- AI-native, autonomous endpoint agent with top-tier third-party efficacy scores (MITRE ATT&CK evaluations) and multi-OS coverage (Windows/Mac/Linux)
- Platform breadth beyond endpoint — AI SIEM/Data Lake, cloud (CNAPP), identity, and GenAI security now ~50% of ARR
- Non-GAAP profitability and FCF inflection achieved while still growing ~20%+
- $812M net cash (~13% of market cap) funds R&D and M&A without debt
- Record net-new ARR and ARR growth ticking up to 23% in Q1 FY27 -- rare reacceleration among security peers
Weaknesses
- Sub-scale vs CrowdStrike (roughly 4x SentinelOne's ARR) and Microsoft -- less go-to-market muscle and brand gravity in CISO platform-consolidation decisions
- Still GAAP-unprofitable (-29% GAAP operating margin Q1 FY27) with heavy stock-based compensation
- Gross margin slipping (79% -> 77% non-GAAP) on acquisition integration and data-heavy mix
- Growth decelerated from 47% (FY24) to ~20-22% — the 8% workforce cut signals cost discipline needed to hit margin targets
- History of go-to-market execution stumbles and leadership churn in the sales organization
Opportunities
- Legacy SIEM replacement cycle (Splunk/Cisco, Exabeam, LogRhythm installed base) with AI SIEM -- a TAM larger than endpoint
- Securing enterprise AI adoption (Prompt Security AI-security ARR nearly doubling sequentially) -- an emergent category with no entrenched incumbent
- Windows kernel-access changes post-CrowdStrike 2024 outage level the playing field for alternative endpoint vendors
- MSSP/mid-market and OEM (Lenovo preload) channels expand reach at low CAC
- Strategic scarcity value — one of few independent growth-stage security platforms -- credible M&A/take-private candidate (Reuters-reported sale exploration via Qatalyst in 2023; renewed analyst takeover speculation in 2025)
Threats
- Microsoft bundling Defender/Sentinel into E5 licensing compresses pricing across the category
- CrowdStrike's platform consolidation (Falcon Flex) and Palo Alto's platformization directly target SentinelOne's expansion modules
- Google (Wiz acquisition, Mandiant/Chronicle) and Cisco (Splunk) escalating big-platform competition in cloud security and SIEM
- Macro-driven security budget scrutiny lengthening deal cycles for challengers more than incumbents
- Geopolitical exposure of Israel-centered R&D organization
Moats, dependencies & bottlenecks
Moats
Switching costs of deployed endpoint agents + platform data gravity (Data Lake/AI SIEM ingest) Strengthening as non-endpoint attach grows -- SIEM data migration is notoriously sticky Endpoint-only seats remain contestable at renewal; data-layer lock-in is the real moat being built
Purple AI agentic SOC) Requires continuous R&D outspend vs much larger rivals; MITRE results validate current parity-or-better efficacy Technology leads in security historically compress within 2-3 years
Brand/validation in the CISO market (Gartner Magic Quadrant Leader in endpoint protection platforms) Durable within endpoint; still being earned in SIEM and cloud
Structural disadvantage vs CrowdStrike/Microsoft/Palo Alto The core bear-case vector; partially offset by channel/MSSP leverage
Dependencies
Infrastructure supplier Singularity platform and Data Lake ride public cloud; Purple AI uses Amazon Bedrock -- cloud COGS drives gross margin
Platform dependency Endpoint agent depends on OS-level access; Microsoft is simultaneously the platform owner and largest competitor
Large share of new business is channel-sourced; mid-market reach depends on MSSP economics
Distribution partner Multi-year deal (announced 2024) shipping Singularity on enterprise PCs
Talent/geographic concentration Core engineering concentrated in a geopolitically volatile region
Advantages
- Only independent AI-native platform spanning endpoint + cloud + identity + SIEM + GenAI security at ~$1B+ ARR -- credible single-vendor alternative for buyers avoiding Microsoft/CrowdStrike concentration
- Autonomous (not cloud-lookup-dependent) agent architecture — differentiated for air-gapped, latency-sensitive, and federal deployments
- Multi-cloud/multi-OS neutrality vs Microsoft's Windows-first gravity
- Net cash balance sheet ($812M) vs debt-carrying legacy vendors
- Early-mover position in GenAI/LLM security via Prompt Security
Weaknesses
- Sub-scale go-to-market vs the two category leaders — loses platform-consolidation deals it never gets to contest
- GAAP losses and SBC dilution persist five years post-IPO
- Gross margin trending down as mix shifts to data-heavy products
- Growth deceleration from hypergrowth to ~20% compresses the multiple narrative
- Restructuring churn risk: 8% workforce cut can disrupt sales coverage mid-expansion
Bottlenecks
- Go-to-market scale — enterprise sales capacity and brand reach vs CrowdStrike/Microsoft is the binding constraint on win rates, not product
- Gross-margin ceiling on data-heavy products — AI SIEM economics depend on cloud ingest/processing costs (mitigant: Observo AI data-pipeline acquisition)
- SBC-funded compensation model constrains GAAP profitability and caps buyback capacity
- Integration bandwidth — three acquisitions (PingSafe, Prompt Security, Observo AI) being absorbed while restructuring the org
Top signals & trends
Top signals
The single best forward indicator; two more quarters of growth would confirm the reacceleration thesis
Fourth consecutive quarter of acceleration; a named luxury-brand Splunk displacement cited in Q1; watch for more enterprise SIEM replacements
Margin credibility is the re-rating catalyst
Watch whether Observo AI pipeline efficiency stabilizes data-product COGS
Either prudent efficiency or a demand-softness tell; Q2 net-new ARR will arbitrate
Conservative macro posture; the stock's ~8% post-print drop shows the market wanted a raise
Context only: Reuters-reported sale exploration (Qatalyst) in 2023 ended without a deal; analyst takeover speculation resurfaced in 2025; scarcity value persists at this multiple
Trends
Favors Microsoft/CrowdStrike/Palo Alto scale; SentinelOne must win as the consolidation target, not a point product
Purple AI + Hyperautomation are aligned with where security budgets are shifting
Largest incremental TAM; SentinelOne's data-lake economics undercut ingest-priced incumbents
Prompt Security positions it early; category size still unproven
Reduces incumbent lock-in narratives; also raises engineering re-work
Challenger vendors bear disproportionate deal-slippage risk
Ecosystem & competitor graph
Suppliers feed the company; customers pull from it. Line thickness shows the strength of each tie (supply-chain dependency, customer earnings contribution). Hover to isolate a tie.
Primary cloud infrastructure; Purple AI built on Amazon Bedrock; expanded AWS collaboration announced 2026
GPU/AI compute underpinning AI-model training and inference (indirect, via cloud providers)
Secondary cloud/AI infrastructure exposure
Enterprise and mid-market CISOs (1,702 customers >$100K ARR) Broad-based; most names not disclosed
FedRAMP-authorized Singularity for government deployments
MSSPs/MDR providers reselling to SMB/mid-market Large indirect customer base via managed-security channel
Publicly referenced enterprise customer
Category leader in cloud-native endpoint/XDR at roughly 4x SentinelOne's ARR; Falcon Flex drives platform consolidation
Defender/Sentinel bundled into E5 licensing; the pricing umbrella over the whole category
Cortex XDR/XSIAM platformization competes across endpoint and SIEM
Incumbent SIEM installed base SentinelOne is attacking; Cisco defends with bundling
Wiz acquisition escalates cloud-security competition; Chronicle/SecOps in SIEM
Broad security platform with endpoint/SOC offerings at aggressive price points
Legacy endpoint incumbent whose installed base is a displacement source more than a threat
Consolidated mid-market endpoint/MDR competitor
Competes for security-analytics/SIEM-replacement workloads on data-lake economics